7 August 2006

The Four-Frontal War: Covert Operations Escalate in Middle East and the Horn of Africa

Civil War Looms in Iraq

"US Generals forsee Iraqi partition" was the unnerving headline penned by Guardian journalists Julian Borger, Ewen MacAskill and Richard Norton Taylor yesterday. They quote the leaked memo to Prime Minister Tony Blair written by William Patey, Britain's outgoing Ammbassador to Iraq, which revealed that "a low intensity civil war and a de facto division of Iraq" is currently more probable than the stabilization of the country. His comments were shockingly confirmed by General John Abizaid, the head of US Central Command, and General Peter Pace, the Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, both of whom warned of the imminent probability of Iraq's slide to civil war.

While the media debate has shifted onto whether or not a civil war is imminent in Iraq -- and it's obvious from the comments of the above informed observers that it is -- unnnoticed and barely reported is the compelling evidence that some sectarian violence has been deliberately fostered and orchestrated by US and British military intelligence. When Iraqi police found "explosives and a remote-control detonator... in the car of the two SAS special forces men" disguised as Arabs, last year in September, veteran war correspondent John Pilger in the New Statesman was one of the few to note the odd details. "What were they planning to do...?" with the explosives, he wondered: "Although reported initially by the Times and the Mail, all mention of the explosives allegedly found in the SAS men's unmarked Cressida vanished from the news. ... the SAS men, disguised as al-Sadr's followers, were planning an attack on Basra ahead of an important religious festival."

Orchestrating the Terrorist Insurgency?

I had written in some detail about this event at the time last year -- the only news outlet that would touch the story was the progressive online newsmagazine Raw Story. But this was not the only event suggesting that American and British military intelligence operatives have been playing a double-game in Iraq. Iraqi nuclear scientist Dr. Imad Khudduri, who worked with the Iraqi Atomic Energy Commission from 1968 to 1998 when he left the country, reports that a driver in Baghdad had his license confiscated by US army officers at a check-point. They told him "to report to an American military camp near Baghdad airport for interrogation" to retrieve his license. When he got to the camp, he was questioned for 30 min before being released. As for his license, the US army officers told him it had been sent for processing to al-Khadimiya police station, where he had to hurry to pick it up before the responsible officer left his shift. "The driver did leave in a hurry, but was soon alarmed with a feeling that his car was driving as if carrying a heavy load", reports Dr. Khudduri.

"... he also became suspicious of a low flying helicopter that kept hovering overhead, as if trailing him. He stopped the car and inspected it carefully. He found nearly 100 kilograms of explosives hidden in the back seat and along the two back doors. The only feasible explanation for this incident is that the car was indeed booby trapped by the Americans and intended for the al-Khadimiya Shiite district of Baghdad. The helicopter was monitoring his movement and witnessing the anticipated ‘hideous attack by foreign elements’.

"The same scenario was repeated in Mosul, in the north of Iraq. A car was confiscated along with the driver’s license. He did follow up on the matter and finally reclaimed his car but was told to go to a police station to reclaim his license. Fortunately for him, the car broke down on the way to the police station. The inspecting car mechanic discovered that the spare tire was fully laden with explosives."

Going back to my own research on this, in my Raw Story report just under a year ago, I noted two important points:

1. Press reports as well as official statements from al-Qaeda in Iraq [scroll down to 'Extremists Threaten To Intensify Attacks] suggested that al-Qaeda had teamed up with Saddam Hussein's old Ba'ath Party loyalists. Iraqi intelligence and US military officials have known for years that al-Qaeda operatives from outside Iraq had "formed an alliance with former intelligence agents of Saddam Hussein".

2. Pakistani military sources told the Asia Times in February 2005 that the US has "resolved to arm small militias backed by US troops and entrenched in the population," consisting of "former members of the Ba'ath Party". In other words, al-Qaeda's latest Ba'athist recruits undergoing what the London Times called "Al-Qaeda-style training, such as how to make remote-controlled bombs" were getting themselves "entrenched" in the civilian environment while also being covertly armed and supported by elements of the US military. The US had procured “Pakistan-manufactured weapons, including rifles, rocket-propelled grenade launchers, ammunition, rockets and other light weaponry.” A Pakistani military analyst noted that the “arms could not be destined for the Iraqi security forces because US arms would be given to them.” It is difficult to avoid the conclusions that US military intelligence has actively implemented a series of covert operations designed to manipulate and arm the terrorist insurgency, thus contributing to the deterioration of security.

Neo-Con Plan: The Dissolution of Iraq

But why? The dissolution of Iraq has long been an essential feature of hardline Israeli strategic thinking. In 1982, the Hebrew journal Kivunim -- the official organ of the World Zionist Organization -- published an article by former Israeli Foreign Ministry official Oded Yinon, who observed that:

"Iraq, rich in oil on the one hand and internally torn on the other, is guaranteed as a candidate for Israel’s targets. Its dissolution is even more important for us than that of Syria... In the short run it is Iraqi power which constitutes the greatest threat to Israel... Every kind of inter-Arab confrontation will assist us in the short run and will shorten the way to the more important aim of breaking up Iraq into denominations as in Syria and in Lebanon. In Iraq, a division into provinces along ethnic/religious lines as in Syria during Ottoman times is possible. So, three (or more) states will exist around the three major cities: Basra, Baghdad and Mosul, and Shi’ite areas in the south will separate from the Sunni and Kurdish north."

The fragmentation of Iraq, in other words, is an integral part of Zionist grand strategy, a strategy that is staunchly supported by the neoconservatives in the White House.

Sources close to the incumbent Iraqi government fear that the drastic deterioration of security in Iraq will be exploited by the Anglo-American coalition to dissolve the fragile parliament and declare a state of emergency, thus permanently sealing the occupation. It is difficult to discern whether this specific scenario is plausible, but there can be no doubt that policymakers in Washington and London want to manipulate the situation to ensure long-term control over Iraqi oil reserves.

Nuclear-ization of Mid-East War

As covert operations to fracture Iraq are escalating, the humanitarian crisis in Lebanon is deepening. Evidence mounts that Israel is planning a wider regional war using nuclear weapons. As ceasefire negotiations continued last week, the Israeli Committee for a Middle East Free from Atomic, Biological & Chemical Weapons reported (5.8.06) that:

"The Government of Israel has recently purchased from the United States bunker-busting bombs (GBU-28), for use in its war in Lebanon. These bombs contain depleted uranium -- a carcinogenic substance that spreads in the form of a toxic and radioactive dust, which enters the lungs and bones and is especially harmful to babies and young children."

The invention of bunker-busting bombs are a brazen attempt to make nuclear devices a viable weapons of warfare without automatically implying Mutually Assured Destruction. In late May 2003, at President Bush’s insistence, Congress voted to end the 10-year ban on the development of tactical nuclear weapons -- also known as ‘mini-nukes’ or 'bunker-busting' bombs - that range up to a third the size of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima in 1945. The new nuclear devices are designed to “produce small amounts of radiation, earth-penetrating weapons to attack underground bunkers, larger devices with greater radiation effects and weapons to destroy chemical and biological agents.” These measures conflict with US treaty obligations -- the US is a signatory to both the comprehensive test ban treaty (although has not ratified it) and the nuclear non-proliferation treaty.

Despite being designed to concentrate the impact in order to limit the nuclear fallout to the intended target, tactical nuclear weapons remain extremely dangerous and inherently indiscriminate -- and of course far more devastating for civilian populations than conventional weapons. For example, according to Council on Foreign Relations scientist Robert Nelson in Physics Today, “anyone within the roughly 3W0.6 km2 area covered by the base surge would receive a fatal dose of radiation. (W is the explosive energy yield in kilotons of TNT.).” Estimating a typical third-world urban population density of 6000/km2, this implies that a single “1-kt weapon would kill tens of thousands”, whereas a single more powerful “100-kt weapon would kill hundreds of thousands of people.”

Nukes, in other words, are still nukes.

Have No Doubt: They Want War... on Four Fronts

Israeli's acquirement of tactical nuclear weapons within the last few days is therefore of urgent concern, and indicates that the regime is stepping-up its planning for an impending wider regional conflict. It must be remembered that Israel has long planned this war. The "clean break" strategy advocated a decade ago by Vice President Dick Cheney's Middle East adviser David Wurmser -- which "is progressing as planned" according to Pentagon whistleblower Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatowski PhD -- sees a conflict with Lebanon as an integral dimension of a war to expand Israeli influence over Syria and Iran: "An effective approach, and one with which American can sympathize, would be if Israel seized the strategic initiative along its northern borders by engaging Hizballah, Syria, and Iran, as the principal agents of aggression in Lebanon."

As the US, UK, and other powers scuttle around shouting for a ceasefire agreement, according to former senior advisor to President Clinton Sidney Blumenthal, neither the US nor Israel want peace:

"The National Security Agency is providing signal intelligence to Israel to monitor whether Syria and Iran are supplying new armaments to Hezbollah ... neoconservatives on Vice President Dick Cheney's national security staff and Elliott Abrams, the neoconservative senior director for the Near East on the National Security Council, are prime movers behind sharing NSA intelligence with Israel, and they have discussed Syrian and Iranian supply activities as a potential pretext for Israeli bombing of both countries... The neoconservatives are described as enthusiastic about the possibility of using NSA intelligence as a lever to widen the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah and Israel and Hamas into a four-front war."

The ceasefire rhetoric is being used deliberately by Anglo-American and Israeli officials to manufacture a justification for opening multiple theatres of war in the region. As Robert Fisk at the Independent observes, the draft resolution is absurdly pro-Israel, failing to even call on Israeli troops to withdraw from Lebanon, and guaranteed to be rejected by Hizbullah as merely an exercise in imperial hubris.

Carving Lebanon?

Meanwhile, US efforts are currently designed to facilitate the political divisions in Lebanon. While supporting Israel's invasion of Lebanon, and condemning Hizbullah's resistance, the Bush administration is simultaneously planning "to help train and equip the Lebanese army so it can take control of all of the nation's territory". The plan is motivated by Hizbollah's growing popularity as the only force in Lebanon capable of attempting to defend its people.

Indeed, the strategic planning behind the "clean break" onslaught now in motion was already in place in the 1980s and is mentioned in the Kivunim article cited previously, which advises that: "Lebanon’s total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precedent for the entire Arab world including Egypt, Syria, Iraq and the Arabian peninsula and is already following that track." Moreover, this is part of a broader process of reconfiguration of the entire Middle East. "The entire Arabian peninsula is a natural candidate for dissolution due to internal and external pressures, and the matter is inevitable especially in Saudi Arabia", the article continues.

"Low Intensity Warfare" in Iran and Somalia

It should not come as a surprise then to learn that the War on Iran has, in fact, already begun -- as early as June 2005. Former US marine and chief UN weapons inspector in Iraq, Scott Ritter, revealed citing confidential sources secret US military flights in Iran “using pilotless drones and other, more sophisticated, capabilities.” The CIA’s Directorate of Operations was financing and directing the Mujahadeen el-Khalq (MEK), the notorious Iranian opposition group (formerly run by Saddam Hussein’s intelligence services) still categorized by the State Department as a “terrorist organization.” CIA-sponsored MEK terrorist operations currently include “remote bombings in Iran of the sort that the Bush administration condemns on a daily basis inside Iraq.” Additionally, the US military had prepared a base of operations in neighbouring Azerbaijan “for a massive military presence” designed to facilitate a “major land-based campaign” to conquer Tehran. CIA paramilitary operatives and US Special Operations units are training with Azerbaijan forces to form special units capable of “operating inside Iran for the purpose of intelligence gathering, direct action, and mobilizing indigenous opposition to the Mullahs in Tehran.”

Covert operations are escalating in other potentially oil-rich regions. In February this year, CIA planes reportedly "delivered large amounts of money and guns" to three warlords in Somalia who dominated Mogadishu. "They named themselves the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism" and began fighting against the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC), a loose legal federation of Somali clans supported "by local businessmen, to restore order by using religious law to settle disputes and punish criminals. Each clan's court has jurisdiction only over its own clan members, but it was a start on rebuilding a law-abiding society." The BBC describes the UIC as "a grassroots movement" which has "become increasingly popular among city residents and the business community desperate to see an end to the rule of the gun." An initiative that Washington was not happy with. In late July this year, the US "let Ethiopia send troops in to protect the isolated 'Interim Government' in Baidoa. That probably means renewed war, and across borders this time... Just when Somalia was about to escape from its long nightmare, a new and worse one has appeared: the prospect of a war that would consume the entire Horn of Africa."

Although Somali clan leaders have expressed the desire to cooperate with Washington's demands on alleged al-Qaeda terrorists, Washington suddenly seems less interested in tangible peaceful solutions. UIC clan elders reportedly "met with US Ambassador William Bellamy in Nairobi, Kenya and promised to cooperate in the hunt for al-Qaeda terrorists."
They even "signed an agreement with the US ambassador that if they tell us exactly where these men are in Somalia, our clan militia will go and capture them and turn them over." Since then, the US has been surprisingly silent about the location of the alleged terrorists -- but still wants to ignite a war that could engulf the whole Horn of Africa. A spokesperson for the US embassy had "no comment" on the meetings.

US interests in Somalia are rather familiar, and have remained much the same since the 1992 Bush Snr. invasion called "Operation Restore Hope". At that time the Los Angeles Times revealed: “Far beneath the surface of the tragic drama of Somalia, four major US oil companies are quietly sitting on a prospective fortune in exclusive concessions to explore and exploit tens of millions of acres of the Somali countryside. That land, in the opinion of geologists and industry sources, could yield significant amounts of oil and natural gas if the US led military mission can restore peace to the impoverished East African nation.” As the Independent adds, "The oil giants’ exclusive concessions to explore and drill [are] worthless in the absence of a viable government to enforce their claims.” The UIC, as an increasingly popular, largely Islamic Sufi federation, fundamentally threatens to permanently prevent the retrieval of these exclusive concessions to US oil corporations.

Concluding Comment

It seems that the War Machine is now in full-swing. US covert operations to control strategic resources are exploding in Iraq, Iran and Somalia. Western diplomatic, military, intelligence and financial maneuverings are carefully positioning Israeli policy to fracture the conflict with Lebanon in a conflict on four (or more) fronts. Tactical nukes are being prepared for imminent use, increasing the probability of a full-scale regional conflagaration.

Meanwhile, Dick Cheney is still hiding somewhere in his bunker, and Western leaders continue to promise us that they only want peace.

Orwell must be spinning in his grave.


  1. Nafeez, are you getting much attention with this blog? It'd be a shame if articles like your latest are being read only by the rabble like us that surf over from Xymphora and FTW.

    Everyone (i.e most news outlets and journalists) has seemed to tiptoe around the implications of the Basra incident and likely agent provocateurs deliberately provoking unrest. Pilger had some nice notes on the back of your WAR ON TRUTH book so it's telling that he's one of the few that was also observant of the Basra incident.

    The popular and influential 'left-wing' longtime media pundit Phillip Adams down here in Australia devoted an episode of his evening LATE-NIGHT LIVE chat/ramble (broadcast on ABC radio, our barely funded Australian equivalent to the BBC) a year ago dismissing all counter-analysis of the official 9/11 story as 'absolute bull***t', and helpfully brought up discussion of misguided folk discussing 'holograms hitting the WTC' as a useful straw-man argument serving to depict why the entire field of 9/11-truth or similar was the work of loonies. (I'd love to ask him to interpret the latest tentative VANITY FAIR-etc mentions of the wargames and Kean backtracking, the former a subject new I guess to anyone that hasn't bothered to read a single one of the half-dozen books published on the matter over the past few years or even browsed one of the several dozen reputable websites repeatedly pointing out issues that are on-the-record and obvious). THE AGE down here has reprinted the odd GUARDIAN article or two but - surprise - they've cherry-picked articles over the past few years to avoid anything critical of the 9/11 official story, so Meacher and Vidal's pieces never made it to print over here.

    Given the PNAC/Clean Break M.E proposals methodically being checked off by the same gang of duplicitous folk, I'd imagine an enterprising soul could tentatively begin to sketch together all these prior events into a single narrative of sorts - the plans and proposals, the pretext, the propaganda and the ultimate aims of Blair, Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and so on. Sadly, it's only folk like yourself that have confronted some of these implications face on that would have a handle on the true picture. I can see a comprehensive book being written someday - though perhaps I'm being too optimistic. Long rambling thoughts here but good work as usual Nafeez.

  2. Good post. Just dropped a line to say I thoroughly enjoy your work. Keep it up! It would also be interesting to hear your thoughts on this current Bojinka style foiled plot here on British soil.

  3. I'm tired of being lied to by official sources (without the lie being point out by the news provider), and I'm also tired of insufficient research and validation into (apparently) very significant news items that do not have official status. (A stellar example of this is a recent report at madcowprod.com showing even more links between the military/industrial complex and Atta) I'm also tired of the left gatekeeper phenomenon, and the fact that it's insufficiently exposed. (BTW, don't you find it interesting that the recent breakthroughs in 911 media exposure seem to all come from the main stream?)

    The internet and existing technology provides us with a way out of this mess. A recent Pew poll shows that 48% of American get at least 30 minutes of news per day from their TELEVISION, while only 9% do so from the internet.

    And yet, broadband internet is now present in about 42% of American homes, and grew a whopping 30% from just a year ago. Furthermore, peer to peer networks can cut distribution costs for producers to next to nothing.

    Microsoft already has a gizmo to allow downloaded content to appear on your TELEVISION, which again, is where most Americans get their "news". Their gizmo doesn't do broadband, and furthermore only dials out to their modems. Tweaking such a gizmo to handle broadband in an open manner has to be simple.

    In other words, all the pieces seem to be there to enable a replacement media at an affordable price, so the problem of Americans getting endlessly propagandized DOES have a solution. It merely takes some non-breakthrough development work, and a decent business plan or two.


    My boilerplate:

    I have posted a proposal on the Randi Rhodes show forum for replacing our current media with a new, sustainable media that facilitates the selection of "filtering agents". You can think of these as honest gatekeepers that YOU trust - and that keep out trivial information, rather than very important information that groups with economic and other hidden agendas prefer to hide from you.

    The thread is entitled:
    "Putting the NY Times Out of Business"

    The thread is subtitled:
    "Proposal to replace ALL corrupt media"



  4. Nafeez, have you heard anything interesting about the lastest bojinka plot? So far I haven't heard any mention of Ramzi Yousef and his micro-bombs on the 24 hour news channels. The police are misrepresenting the situation by saying "mass murder on an unimaginable scale", since many people have been thinking about the implications of the bojinka for over 11 years. Reverting back to traditional methods was entirely predictable given the fact that these nutters will never manage to hijack a plane again. The average anal cavity can hold more than enough nitroglycerin to blow a hole in a plane's fuselage!

    I'm so cynical about Blair and the security service that I will only believe that this lastest plot is real when there are convictions at the Old Bailey. We won't be hearing much about the situation in Lebanon for a few days... Just when Israel is escalating the conflict, coincidence? I truely hope so.

  5. Ramzi Yousef/bojinka has just been mentioned on news 24 (15:31) but only by one of their terrorism experts (Garry Hindle - RUSI).

  6. Nafeez... I would appreciate it if you would come by my site to say a few words...

    I posted this story here.

    I met you at the D.C. Emergency Truth Convergence.

    Thanks for your work.

  7. "I'm so cynical about Blair and the security service that I will only believe that this lastest plot is real when there are convictions at the Old Bailey."

    What, like the convictions of the Birmingham Six and the Guildford Four in the 1970's?

  8. Nafeez,

    Thank you for your analysis of the war mongering of the US government. I have one question for you. Where did you obtain the information on GBU-28 bunker buster bombs containing depleted uranium? I have tried to obtain documentation to verify this often repeated claim but I have been unsuccessful.

  9. Nafeez, dead link here;

    "1. Press reports as well as official statements from al-Qaeda in Iraq suggested that al-Qaeda had teamed up with Saddam Hussein's old Ba'ath Party loyalists. Iraqi intelligence and US military officials have known for years that al-Qaeda operatives from outside Iraq had "formed an alliance with former intelligence agents of Saddam Hussein"."

    The Age link is dead. ("al-Qaeda in Iraq") Not coming up in the Internet Archive either.

  10. One more dead link;

    "Covert operations are escalating in other potentially oil-rich regions. In February this year, CIA planes reportedly "delivered large amounts of money and guns" to three warlords in Somalia who dominated Mogadishu. "They named themselves the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism" and began fighting against the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC), a loose legal federation of Somali clans supported "by local businessmen, to restore order by using religious law to settle disputes and punish criminals. Each clan's court has jurisdiction only over its own clan members, but it was a start on rebuilding a law-abiding society."

    The Japan link is directing to a search engine (CIA planes reportedly "delivered large amounts of money and guns").

  11. Larry Chin from Onlinejournal.com has a useful related article up now (at the following link) that I generally agree with, if being scared s***less can be considered a form of agreement.


    I've said it before at other blogs, but will again here - what are the odds of a big, nasty false-flag op happening in the next 6-8 weeks?

    The horrible thing is that those who know what is happening will have more of an uphill battle to open the window of clear observation to those who currently don't. Mass casualties, a blank check for the NeoCons, and weeks of 24hr CNN coverage repeating Bush talking points to encourage the rest of the world to get into lockstep behind our fearless leaders. Blog author Xymphora made a comment several months back suggesting that it was a dangerous mistake for Blair's fellow party members to leave him in power rather than dragging him kicking and screaming from office. Now, spin rules, we all get to swallow the poison pill and everyone can get ready to drift off to slumberland. It'd be fascinating to be a fly on the wall right now in Dick Cheney's private bunker, as I'm sure he and Rumsfeld are hard at work right now preparing all sorts of goodies for us all.

    This war on terror is a fraud.

  12. Akum.
    I deeply respect your well sourced analysis of the War OF Terror. I would like to know the source of the following quoted extract that you wrote under the sub-sub heading of Have No Doubt: They Want War... on Four Fronts Quote: Israeli's acquirement of tactical nuclear weapons within the last few days is therefore of urgent concern

    Also to what degree do you agree with follow researcher Adam Curtis, who wrote and directed The Power of Nightmares series. Adam takes the line that there is "Islamic" militants out there but they have been parceled up for western demonisation consumption and politicisation. Adam does not accept the 9-11 conspiracy that 9-11 was a false flag. Can you briefly share with us your valued and informed opinion here?

    Salam. ratsics at hotail dot com

  13. From his blog entry it appears that Nafeez misunderstood the warning from the Israeli anti nuclear activists about the bunker busters. I am an activist too and I received the same press release from Gideon Spiro in Israel. The GBU-28 bunker are evidently tipped with depleted uranium for deep penetration. Horrible as they are, they are nonetheless classified as conventional weapons.

    Israel almost certainly has tactical nukes, of course, and Nafeez may well be correct that they could be used in the next war. Its prevention must therefore be our highest priority.


    Mark H. Gaffney, author, Dimona the Third Temple (1989)

  14. To: Mark H Gaffney
    Thank you for your opinion on the matter. What you say makes more sense.
    But perhaps it was my misconception being old fashioned as to the meaning of term nuclear weapons. I take it to mean the city destroying mushroom cloud type. Maybe the terminology has moved on to include DU as nuclear weapons. If so, I dont like it.


  15. Cheers Mark. Your explanation makes more sense.

    Why does Nafeez have a comments section here when he never answers posters comments?


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